Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 186.985392 222.043407 264.876984 322.090474 398.153151 4.983236e+02 6.447971e+02
2025-02-09 139.301544 179.047212 233.709025 317.820353 451.060879 6.687580e+02 1.090964e+03
2025-02-16 116.718564 157.811242 218.917630 322.804021 510.921905 8.797891e+02 1.823338e+03
2025-02-23 101.514209 142.403812 206.848751 325.276544 564.932475 1.119501e+03 3.017568e+03
2025-03-02 91.141211 131.804373 199.107199 331.498641 628.372131 1.439696e+03 5.358089e+03
2025-03-09 82.883402 122.908363 191.926512 335.934260 690.468674 1.832692e+03 1.017228e+04
2025-03-16 74.490951 112.410100 179.713596 326.264437 713.400765 2.139325e+03 1.790243e+04
2025-03-23 70.755480 109.273838 180.341758 344.453264 824.211069 3.003892e+03 6.199321e+04
2025-03-30 64.192810 100.257341 168.072704 329.353125 826.400053 3.369561e+03 1.501625e+05
2025-04-06 60.329296 95.660463 163.833854 332.714762 894.024329 4.343992e+03 1.837849e+06
2025-04-13 56.535774 90.750186 158.174193 330.964539 943.917131 5.422400e+03 NaN
2025-04-20 54.951517 89.808622 160.679039 351.892478 1103.804879 8.581352e+03 NaN
2025-04-27 54.663955 91.693688 170.512378 400.436408 1469.180456 2.141771e+04 NaN
2025-05-04 50.986039 86.456033 163.427745 395.700557 1562.029710 3.314713e+04 NaN
2025-05-11 48.373176 83.083024 160.159939 402.524607 1744.912135 6.758130e+04 NaN
2025-05-18 45.878299 79.671692 156.228447 405.893477 1920.537712 1.595871e+05 NaN
2025-05-25 43.869635 77.067548 153.877315 414.380073 2165.884302 7.012782e+05 NaN
2025-06-01 41.950036 74.453446 151.086776 420.442520 2419.030837 1.879644e+07 NaN
2025-06-08 39.478441 70.411364 144.007140 407.239622 2460.475082 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 38.594508 69.783963 145.908153 432.115105 3026.390257 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 36.256171 65.701694 137.869253 411.451416 2956.606804 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 34.920858 63.784879 135.588799 416.041190 3290.435618 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 33.479169 61.509959 132.015936 413.650792 3528.189202 NaN NaN